After two years of contraction and uneven recovery, the staffing industry heads into 2026 with both cautious optimism and clear urgency.
According to SIA, the U.S. staffing market is expected to grow by 2% in 2026, reaching $183.3 billion. However, job gains remain inconsistent, and hiring leaders are rethinking how they manage cost, speed, and delivery. Many companies are considering workforce reductions and restructuring priorities to focus on efficiency and building capabilities, placing efficiency to the top of the agenda.
In this environment, the organizations that will win are those that scale with purpose. From operationalized AI and skills-first hiring to flexible delivery models and segment-specific strategies, here are the most critical industry trends to watch for 2026 and beyond.
The question is no longer whether to use AI in hiring. The new question is how well it is integrated, governed, and scaled. By 2026, as many as one in three employers will run end-to-end AI-assisted hiring. Leading organizations already run AI at the front of the funnel. For instance, Unilever processes roughly 1.8 million applications each year and hires more than 30,000 people by using AI to screen first round applicants and surface best-fit talent for human review.
Technology stacks are shifting toward embedded AI agents that handle sourcing, candidate engagement, and interview scheduling. Workday’s acquisition of Paradox signals a shift from bolt-on tools to embedded capability across the hiring suite.
The impact is measurable. Organizations that embed AI at scale see faster time-to-slate, lower cost-per-hire, stronger match quality, and a better candidate experience. However, while data-driven recruitment underpins these gains, leaders must invest in clean data pipelines, MLOps, and responsible AI guardrails to realize full benefits.
Organizations that use skills consistently across hiring, pay, and progression report stronger outcomes, including 1.4x higher attraction and retention, 2x greater employee productivity, and 1.7x better overall financial performance. Thus, employers are actively widening their horizons.
According to SHRM, 92% employers are open to hiring candidates who gained skills outside a degree, and 45% plan to drop degree requirements for key roles. LinkedIn’s Economic Graph also shows that hiring for demonstrated skills can expand talent pools nearly tenfold.
The market context makes this shift urgent. 2026 is expected to bring slower overall growth, with concentrated demand in healthcare, renewable energy, and skilled trades, where competency-based hiring closes gaps faster. Industry leaders must focus on rebuilding job architectures around competencies, modernizing assessments, and encouraging suppliers to deliver skills-validated slates at speed.
Roles are evolving faster than titles. The World Economic Forum estimates that 39% of today’s skills will be transformed or become obsolete between 2025 and 2030, making continuous learning a business requirement.
The imperative is reinforced by technology investment. McKinsey reports that 92% of organizations plan to increase AI spending over the next three years, which elevates the need for digital fluency across functions. Salesforce provides a practical example, publicly prioritizing reskilling and training its 72,000+ employees on agentic AI to prepare teams for new workflows and responsibilities.
Pairing skills-first hiring with funded learning paths and real-world projects seems to be the path ahead. Upskilling and reskilling programs are more cost-effective than constant hiring, improve morale and retention, and prepare teams for the future.
2026 is unlikely to play out evenly across segments.
In healthcare, SIA projects modest improvement in 2026 as pandemic-era distortions fade. Sub-segments like locum tenens remain comparatively resilient.
Industrial looks steadier but subdued. SIA expects a 3% revenue dip in 2025, signaling normalization rather than a snapback, with performance varying by region and end market. IT remains weak but is finding its footing. Year-over-year declines persist, though budgets are selectively unlocking for data, cloud, and AI programs.
Leaders should segment pricing, supply, and service models by market conditions.
Flexibility is now a strategy that drives access, speed, and resilience. The supply side is expanding as digital work detaches from location. The World Economic Forum projects a 25% rise in fully remote digital jobs by 2030, enlarging the global talent pool available to U.S. buyers.
Demand-side expectations are just as clear. Owl Labs reports that 37% of U.S. workers would decline an offer lacking flexible hours, signaling that rigid schedules shrink the candidate pool.
Amidst the change, buying models are evolving to match.
Nearshoring is shifting from a trial approach to a core strategy. With stricter visa rules and potential H-1B fee hikes creating uncertainty, organizations are moving talent and operations closer to home to ensure stable, predictable delivery.
Momentum is visible. A KPMG survey shows the share of U.S.-serving supply chains in the Americas is expected to reach 69% within two years, reflecting a durable proximity premium. Moreover, the 2026 USMCA review is widely viewed as a catalyst for deeper North American integration and investment, especially in Mexico.
Manufacturers are already shifting work nearer to end markets in response to tariffs and labor constraints. For tech and operations teams, the benefits are practical. Latin America offers real-time collaboration with minimal time-zone drag, competitive costs, and a mature industrial base, strengthening supply resilience.
In short, organizations need to blend domestic and nearshore models to scale quickly, protect timelines, and keep critical work moving through 2026.
As we approach 2026, the recruitment landscape looks promising for those who’ll act proactively with discipline and speed.
Embed AI to remove friction in recruiting, design flexible work and buying models, and make skills-first thinking a daily operating habit. By standardizing data for AI at scale, rebuilding job architectures around competencies, and funding upskilling to grow the talent you cannot hire, leaders can navigate near-term pressure and position for long-term performance.
If you are looking for a partner to navigate these challenges, Pyramid Consulting is here to help. Our holistic approach combines transformational Talent, Technology, and Training solutions to help your organization gain a competitive edge.
Contact us today to supercharge your future.
Author:
Rich Thomas, EVP & Chief Operating Officer
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